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Asset Allocation Outlook
How to evolve your portfolio for the latest market conditions? Explore the latest monthly snapshot of our Multi-Asset Team’s asset class views. For professional, institutional or accredited investors only. Capital at risk.
How is funded status holding up in the volatility? Updates on the corporate DB landscape
Members of our LDI Team share key takeaways from their latest analysis of US corporate pension plans' funded status, derisking activity, and ROA assumptions, as well as their outlook for plan contributions.
Four investment perspectives on Trump’s first 100 days
Four of our experts across fixed income and equity share their asset-class level insights on the first 100 days of the current Trump administration and analyze the implications for investors.
Monthly Market Review — March 2025
A monthly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.
Insurance Quick Takes: Positioning portfolios for what’s next in private credit
In our latest Insurance Quick Takes video, Tim Antonelli, head of Insurance Multi-Asset Strategy and portfolio manager, discusses the 2025 outlook for private credit and its implications for insurers.
The US equity rotation: Where have all the good vibes gone?
After riding into 2025 on a wave of post-election euphoria, the US stock market has struggled to find its footing so far this year. Global Investment and Multi-Asset Strategist Nanette Abuhoff Jacobson looks at what’s changed in the markets and what it might mean for investors.
Monthly Market Review — January 2025
A monthly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.
Flipping the script: Our updated market outlook and the derisking/rerisking decision
Members of our LDI Team share an unusual outlook for equities and bonds and explain what it could mean for US corporate pension plans contemplating either derisking or rerisking moves from here.
Insurance Quick Takes: The latest from the NAIC on CLO and bond fund capital charges
In our latest Insurance Quick Takes video, Tim Antonelli, Head of Insurance Multi-Asset Strategy and Portfolio Manager, offers a timely update on two important investment-related projects discussed in a special NAIC meeting.
Deeply seeking the impact of AI spending on bond yields
Brij Khurana explores the surprising way in which AI spending may impact Treasury yields and complicate the Fed's rate-policy decisions.
Implementing decarbonisation guidelines: lessons learned in collaboration with clients
For asset owners with net-zero ambitions, balancing decarbonisation goals with investment objectives can be a challenge. Climate Transition Risk Analyst Julie Delongchamp outlines a practical five-step approach to implementing tailored guidelines.
Quarterly Market Review
A quarterly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.
Picture this: Economic forecast in 6 charts
We offer our 2025 economic and market forecasts across the capital markets in 6 charts.
Monthly Market Review — December 2024
A monthly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.
Monthly Market Review — November 2024
A monthly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.
Four achievable New Year’s resolutions for investors
Are New Year’s Resolutions for investors purely aspirational or a helpful tool? Investment Strategy Analyst Alex King believes the latter and proposes four achievable resolutions.
Balancing bumps in the road and big-picture thinking in 2025
How can investors position portfolios for bumps in the road without losing sight of longer-term opportunities?
The allocator’s checklist for 2025 and beyond
Head of Multi-Asset Strategy Adam Berger offers near- and longer-term ideas for allocators, including thoughts on alternatives, potential market surprises, and risk management.
Executive Summary 2025: Finding opportunity amid uncertainty
In this article, we summarize some of the key findings from our 2025 outlooks, from divergence-driven opportunities to the impacts of AI and beyond.
LDI in 2025: Ten questions corporate plan sponsors are asking
Members of our LDI Team address a range of topics that US corporate plans will be thinking about this year, from pension funding and accounting issues to portfolio diversification opportunities.
Scaling opportunities in a new economic era
Explore our latest views on risks and opportunities across the global capital markets.
Accelerating the future of active management
CEO Jean Hynes explains how Wellington is building for the future of active management by investing in our capabilities and aligning our organization and talent with clients’ shifting needs.
Multi-Asset Investment Outlook
To help think through the asset allocation outlook and implications for this year, we offer views from iStrat, our investment strategy and solutions group.
Trump 2.0: Time to curb your enthusiasm?
How does an allocator navigate markets when so much about the policy landscape is unknown? Our Investment Strategy & Solutions Group offers their views on the new political realities in the US and their global implications, including for equities, bonds, and commodities.
A guide to investing in the age of anxiety
There's a long list of issues worrying asset owners, from geopolitical risk to high valuations. To help, Head of Multi-Asset Strategy Adam Berger offers coping tips for an uncomfortable investment backdrop and a world where investing rules of thumb may be broken.
Don’t let recency bias get in the way of good investment ideas
Tim Antonelli, Head of Multi-Asset Strategy – Insurance, offers ideas to help insurers avoid being anchored to recent events and build portfolio resilience, from locking in higher yields to taking a more dynamic approach with surplus assets.
Monthly Market Review — October 2024
A monthly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.
Setting ROAs for 2025: A guide for US corporate and public plans
How are pension plans adjusting their ROA assumptions? And how do those assumptions line up with our long-term capital market assumptions? Find out in this annual update.
What do the US election results mean for investors?
The US election results could have significant implications for the global economy and capital markets. Our panel of experts provides a thorough analysis of what happened and explores potential market impacts.
Trump win likely to accelerate macro trends already in motion
The US election results could have significant implications for the global economy and markets. To help you understand these changes, US Macro Strategist Mike Medeiros provides a thorough analysis and discusses the potential market impacts.
Pre-election ideas for investors: Lean into what you know (not what you don’t)
Our expert offers investable ideas based on known macro and market conditions, rather than speculation.
Insurance Quick Takes: Navigating the Principles-Based Bond Definition Project
In our latest Insurance Quick Takes video, Tim Antonelli breaks down the NAIC’s Principles-Based Bond Definition (PBBD) project and implications for US insurers.
Why more corporate plans should pass on pension risk transfers
LDI Team Chair Amy Trainor explains why she believes a pension risk transfer may, in many cases, not be the best choice for fully funded plans from a cost/benefit standpoint.
Quarterly Market Review
A quarterly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.
Monthly Market Review — September 2024
A monthly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.
Take it “ease”-y
Tim Antonelli, Head of Multi-Asset Strategy – Insurance and Portfolio Manager, explains why he thinks insurers should consider locking in current yields and sticking with global equity exposure.
Sahm rules are meant to be broken
Fed easing is finally here and fundamentals remain favorable. But what about that election? Members of our Investment Strategy & Solutions Group offer their outlook, including their latest views on equities, bonds, and commodities.
Monthly Market Review — August 2024
A monthly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.
Picture this: Our forecast in 7 charts
What should investors expect for the remainder of 2024? View a visual summary of our Investment Outlook in seven compelling charts.
Four investment perspectives amid a pivotal US election
How can investors reposition portfolios for a pivotal but highly unpredictable US elections? Nick Samouilhan explores potential avenues in conversation with three leading portfolio managers.
Insurance Quick Takes: US life insurers’ utilization of private placements
In our latest Insurance Quick Takes video, Tim Antonelli discusses research on US life insurers’ use of private placement investments, and shares observations for insurers globally.
Massive market sell-off: Justified or an overreaction?
What's behind the global market meltdown, and what should investors consider doing? Global Investment and Multi-Asset Strategist Nanette Abuhoff Jacobson shares her views.
Breaking concentration: big picture thinking with small-cap equities
How to overcome the risks associated with today's concentrated market? Investment Director John Mullins explores why small-cap equities could be part of the answer.
Ok, Boomer: How US generational wealth distribution could upend the economy and markets
Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Brij Khurana discusses the implications of US Baby Boomers' wealth concentration in the event of a market decline.
Divergence isn’t just about central bank policy
Divergence has implications for investors —and central bank divergence is only one of five ways to think about it.
Insurance Quick Takes: One regulator's view of geopolitics’ impact on the industry
In our latest Insurance Quick Takes video, Tim Antonelli, Head of Insurance Multi-Asset Strategy and Portfolio Manager, discusses why a recent stress test from a regulator could have implications for insurers across the globe.
Investing in “3D”: Forces shaping alternatives opportunities in 2024
Multi-Asset Strategists Adam Berger and Nick Samouilhan offer six ideas from the hedge fund and liquid alternatives investment space, from global macro to multi-strategy approaches.
Thriving or surviving? The state of the US consumer and the economic implications
Macro Strategist Juhi Dhawan examines the condition of the all-important consumer, including the outlook for spending, the effects of inflation and prevailing interest rates, and the consequences for the overall economy.
With the Fed on hold, is the case for bonds kaput?
Amid worries about sticky inflation, the market has scaled back its expectations for interest rate cuts this year. But even if rate cuts are on hold a while longer, members of our Multi-Asset Team still think investors should consider a move from cash to bonds.
Exploring active opportunities amid continued regime change
Head of Multi-Asset Strategy, APAC, Nick Samouilhan outlines why today's environment of dispersion, divergence and disruption offers potentially compelling opportunities for active investors.
Picking the right building blocks for a climate-aware portfolio
For asset owners integrating climate change into their multi-asset portfolios, members of our Investment Strategy & Solutions Group offer five important insights.
Risky business: Is now the time for surplus action?
Tim Antonelli, Head of Multi-Asset Strategy – Insurance and Portfolio Manager, considers insurers' renewed interest in risk assets and offers his views on areas that may be worth a closer look.
Do fundamentals support a risk-on tilt?
Surprisingly strong economic growth, declining inflation, easy financial conditions — can it get any better for markets? Members of our Investment Strategy & Solutions Group offer their outlook, including their latest views on equities, bonds, and commodities.
A blueprint for building climate-aware multi-asset portfolios
Members of our Investment Strategy & Solutions Group take a deep dive on the issues asset owners should consider when choosing climate-aware portfolio building blocks, from the evolving opportunity set to the active/passive decision.
Insurance Quick Takes: What's next for CLO risk charges?
Tim Antonelli, Head of Insurance Multi-Asset Strategy and Portfolio Manager, breaks down the impact of recent US insurance regulatory developments on the CLO universe, and why this matters for U.S. insurers.
Using defensive equities in a return-seeking portfolio: A factor framework for corporate plans
Members of our LDI and Fundamental Factor teams share their views on defensive equity investments, including their role in a plan's portfolio and the current environment for defensive factors.
Income: the hard worker in your portfolio deserves more credit
Income from cash is good but income from bonds is better. In a less certain macro environment, Alex King, Supriya Menon and John Mullins think the case for income only gets stronger. How can investors make the most of opportunities?
How to reposition for a new economic era?
In this short video, Macro Strategist John Butler outlines the key features of the new economic era we are now entering.
Facing the inflation dilemma head on
Inflation has already fallen much quicker than most expected. However, there are convincing reasons why inflation might be higher and more volatile going forward. What are the implications for asset allocation?
Insurance Quick Takes: IFRS S1 and S2: What's the impact to insurance investing?
Tim Antonelli, Head of Multi-Asset Strategy – Insurance, discusses the implications of two new sustainability reporting standards for global insurers, IFRS S1 and IFRS S2, and why it's not just IFRS filers that should pay attention.
Managing currency exposure in multi-asset portfolios: how to weigh the trade-offs and impact
Nick Samouilhan, Head of Multi-Asset Strategy – APAC, evaluates the trade-offs of different currency hedging approaches and offers a novel framework for gauging their potential portfolio impact.
Trends and transformation distilled: Our 2024 outlook in brief
Our experts explore investment opportunities and risks for the year ahead.
Top of Mind: The allocator’s checklist for 2024 and beyond
Head of Multi-Asset Strategy Adam Berger offers near- and longer-term ideas for allocators, including thoughts on areas where capital is scarce, alternatives may be attractive, and risks may bear watching.
Navigating a volatile reality: three ideas for 2024 and beyond
2023 saw investors grapple with a new, more volatile reality. How should portfolios be positioned for opportunities and challenges in 2024?
Multi-Asset Market Outlook
To help think through the asset allocation outlook and implications for 2023, we offer views from iStrat, our investment strategy and solutions group
Fork in the road: Slowdown or reacceleration ahead?
Markets seem to expect a much smoother ride in 2024, but are they too optimistic? Members of our Investment Strategy & Solutions Group offer their macro and market outlook, including their latest views on equities, bonds, and commodities.
Learning to love (or live with) a late-cycle environment
Are we actually in a late-cycle environment and, if so, how should allocators respond? Head of Multi-Asset Strategy Adam Berger offers guidance, including on portfolio positioning, big cycle bets, and security selection.
Rebalancing a multi-asset portfolio: A guide to the choices and trade-offs
Many investors wrestle with portfolio rebalancing decisions, particularly in volatile environments. In this paper, members of our Investment Strategy Team argue for a well-structured rebalancing policy and share research on different approaches and common implementation considerations.
2024 Insurance Outlook: Position portfolios for the unexpected
Tim Antonelli offers two critical ideas for insurers' 2024 investment planning: doubling down on diversification and rethinking risk, including geopolitical and default risk.
The growing importance of supply chain transparency
Head of Sustainable Investment Wendy Cromwell explains why supply chains remain a key investment risk and details related research areas for our SI team in 2024.
Full speed ahead: China’s race to implement AI
Our experts examine market implications of China's AI expedition.
How geopolitics and the energy transition may reshape global trade
We explore the potential near- and longer-term market effects of deteriorating US/China relations, coupled with the shift toward a low-carbon economy.
Getting Real: China looks beyond real estate for economic success
Our experts explore signs of an improving macro picture in China.
Income investing in multi-asset portfolios: Tipping the balance in your favour
Income can play a crucial role in the pursuit of investment objectives over time, but research from our iStrat Team argues for a balanced approach to asset allocation decisions given the potential trade-offs between income and capital return, risk, and portfolio diversification.
Three themes (and what they mean) for income investors
With several macro crosscurrents at play, Portfolio Manager Peter Wilke suggests that income-oriented investors not lose sight of the “big picture” in their quest for yield.
Insurance Quick Takes: Understanding the latest shifts in mortality and longevity
Tim Antonelli, Head of Multi-Asset Strategy – Insurance, discusses recent trends and patterns on mortality and longevity, why this topic is important for global insurers of all types and sizes today, and potential opportunities.
How to interpret the Bank of Japan’s latest policy shift
We analyse the wide-ranging investment implications of the Bank of Japan's latest policy shift.
Core fixed income: Stop me if you’ve heard this one before
Head of Multi-Asset Strategy – Insurance and Portfolio Manager Tim Antonelli updates insurers on the status of the market today, shares what he believes they can expect for the rest of the year, and identifies areas that may be worth a closer look.
Multi-Asset Outlook: A recession is looming…or is it?
The economy has largely shrugged off the banking crisis and other concerns this year, while riding positive sentiment driven by AI enthusiasm and a possible soft landing. Members of our Investment Strategy team offer their macro and market outlook for the second half of the year, including their latest views on equities, bonds, and commodities.
How to weather the storm: A roadmap for more resilient portfolios
As we face a new era of elevated market and cycle volatility, Co-Head of Investment Strategy Natasha Brook-Walters assesses how asset owners can ensure that their portfolios are up for the challenge.
How a thematic approach can help harness change within portfolios
Multi-Asset Strategist Supriya Menon and Investment Director Andrew Sharp-Paul discuss why a thematic approach can help harness change within portfolios against a structurally different macroeconomic backdrop.
Keep your spread and earn on it too? The case for intermediate credit
Amid heightened volatility and an uncertain macro environment, members of our LDI Team see opportunity for corporate plans in the intermediate credit market.
Mind the liquidity (and cost) gap: Revisiting a plan’s hedge-ratio approach
Members of our LDI Team take a fresh look at the process of setting and managing liability hedge ratio targets, including liquidity considerations that are top of mind today and the implementation toolkit.
Is your asset allocation ready for the realities of climate change?
Our Investment Strategy Team shares key findings from the research behind their climate-aware strategic asset allocation (SAA) approach, including challenges and trade-offs that asset owners should understand.
Focus on what you can control: Five alternative investment ideas for an uncertain world
Multi-Asset Strategists Nick Samouilhan and Adam Berger explain how a variety of alternative investments, including select hedge funds and private credit, could help allocators reduce the importance of the economic cycle to their portfolio results.
Is the structural case for inflation still intact?
Even if inflation cools in the coming months, members of our Investment Strategy team expect it to be "stickier" over the long term. Find out how that might impact asset allocation decisions.
Closing the return gap: A new set of “stepping stone” ideas
Multi-Asset Strategist Adam Berger offers incremental, flexible investment ideas that can be combined to help asset owners pursue their goals amid declining capital market return expectations.
Designing a climate-aware strategic asset allocation
Members of our Investment Strategy Team explain how they incorporate climate metrics into their asset allocation optimization process. They also discuss implementation — the choice of specific climate-aware building blocks and strategies to express the desired asset allocation.
Debt and dysfunction in Washington: The US hits the ceiling (again)
Global Investment Strategist Nanette Abuhoff Jacobson talks to Macro Strategist Mike Medeiros about the US debt-ceiling showdown and considers its potential investment implications.
Why Europe could surprise in 2023
Eoin O’Callaghan and John Butler discuss the contrasting prospects of the Euro Area and the UK and why 2023 could bring positive surprises in the region.
A new economic era: Why inflation, volatility, and cycles are back
Macro Strategist John Butler argues that a seismic global shift is underway that will disrupt the macro dynamics of the past two decades, challenging long-held investment assumptions.
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